Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.044474 0.048504 0.052599 0.057064 0.061789 0.066631 0.071964
2024-12-22 0.039141 0.045127 0.051439 0.058561 0.066349 0.074577 0.083904
2024-12-29 0.034515 0.041881 0.049910 0.059250 0.069751 0.081133 0.094340
2025-01-05 0.030783 0.039172 0.048601 0.059869 0.072852 0.087234 0.104254
2025-01-12 0.027074 0.036095 0.046538 0.059340 0.074429 0.091474 0.112004
2025-01-19 0.024718 0.034366 0.045832 0.060204 0.077473 0.097305 0.121545
2025-01-26 0.022045 0.031996 0.044142 0.059704 0.078757 0.100988 0.128535
2025-02-02 0.020107 0.030372 0.043210 0.059987 0.080873 0.105581 0.136565
2025-02-09 0.018789 0.029428 0.043027 0.061111 0.083952 0.111293 0.145928
2025-02-16 0.018189 0.029375 0.043939 0.063584 0.088692 0.119035 0.157786
2025-02-23 0.015851 0.026763 0.041349 0.061429 0.087516 0.119462 0.160713
2025-03-02 0.014304 0.025139 0.039964 0.060737 0.088107 0.122003 0.166182
2025-03-09 0.012954 0.023728 0.038824 0.060357 0.089128 0.125151 0.172527
2025-03-16 0.012540 0.023679 0.039560 0.062502 0.093461 0.132522 0.184220
2025-03-23 0.011816 0.023100 0.039507 0.063547 0.096344 0.138075 0.193686
2025-03-30 0.011090 0.022459 0.039320 0.064376 0.098927 0.143253 0.202716
2025-04-06 0.010069 0.021265 0.038255 0.063917 0.099739 0.146125 0.208817
2025-04-13 0.009510 0.020783 0.038212 0.064880 0.102468 0.151494 0.218140
2025-04-20 0.008635 0.019693 0.037188 0.064382 0.103156 0.154171 0.223998
2025-04-27 0.008025 0.019011 0.036748 0.064697 0.104945 0.158291 0.231736
2025-05-04 0.007659 0.018733 0.036917 0.065890 0.107953 0.164038 0.241614
2025-05-11 0.007620 0.019048 0.038030 0.068502 0.112980 0.172519 0.255129
2025-05-18 0.006589 0.017421 0.035940 0.066233 0.111045 0.171618 0.256299